Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 1
ROM
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
ACM
2 - 0
UDI
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACM
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
UDI
2 - 0
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
NAP
3 - 1
TOR
46%
30%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |