Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
VNZ
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
NAP
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |