Milan vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ACM
5 - 1
FIO
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
52%
23%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ACM
4 - 1
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SJE
0 - 0
MUD
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 1
AME
61%
23%
17%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 0
WAT
73%
19%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
WHU
0 - 0
MUD
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |