Milan vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 5
ACM
19%
25%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
27%
26%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 2
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
5 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |