Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
0 - 0
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LAZ
6 - 1
SPE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
EMP
1 - 3
LAZ
33%
25%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAS
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 1
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
MEP
1 - 1
LAZ
14%
23%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |