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Serie A. Matchday 5

Milan vs Inter analysis

Milan Inter
89 ELO 90
1% Tilt 23%
31º General ELO ranking 30º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.2%
Milan
24.7%
Draw
27.1%
Inter

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
Milan
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Win probability
Inter
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

48
52
POS
21
16
SOT
2
5
COR
3
2
GF
2
3
GC
14
12
FRK
89
90
ELO
1.6
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Milan
Their league position
Inter
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
20
88
64%
Atalanta
17
73
11%
Milan
17
76
14%
Udinese
16
60
6%
Roma
16
71
10%
Lazio
14
73
9%
Inter
12
74
6%
Juventus
10
65
5%
Torino
10
57
6%
Fiorentina
10º
9
51
10º
6%
Sassuolo
11º
9
43
13º
6%
Spezia
12º
8
37
15º
6%
Salernitana
13º
7
43
12º
6%
Empoli
14º
7
31
18º
7%
Lecce
15º
6
33
17º
6%
Bologna
16º
6
37
16º
7%
Hellas Verona
17º
5
45
11º
6%
AC Monza
18º
4
24
19º
7%
Cremonese
19º
2
38
14º
7%
Sampdoria
20º
2
22
20º
10%
Expected probabilities
Milan
Inter
Champion
23% 21%
Champions League
36% 37%
Europa League
10% 10%
Europa Conference League
8% 8%
Mid-table
21% 22%
Relegation
2% 2%

ELO progression

Inter
INT
Milan
ACM
Salzburg
RBS
Bayern München
BYM
Stuttgart
STU
SV Ried
RIE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2022
SAS
Sassuolo
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
34%
27%
39%
3046 2255 -791 -5
27 Aug. 2022
ACM
Milan
2 - 0
Bologna
BOL
71%
18%
11%
3041 2073 968 +5
21 Aug. 2022
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Milan
ACM
33%
27%
40%
3045 2332 -713 -4
13 Aug. 2022
ACM
Milan
4 - 2
Udinese
UDI
66%
19%
14%
3039 2294 745 +7
07 Aug. 2022
ACM
Milan
7 - 1
Pergolettese
PER
78%
15%
7%
2884 432 2452 +2

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO INT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2022
INT
Inter
3 - 1
Cremonese
USC
72%
17%
11%
2986 2046 940 +6
26 Aug. 2022
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Inter
INT
46%
27%
26%
3002 2867 -135 -17
20 Aug. 2022
INT
Inter
3 - 0
Spezia
SPE
79%
14%
7%
2999 1571 1428 +3
13 Aug. 2022
LEC
Lecce
1 - 2
Inter
INT
30%
26%
44%
2994 1968 -1026 +5
06 Aug. 2022
INT
Inter
2 - 4
Villarreal
VIL
46%
27%
26%
2883 3004 -121 -40