Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ACM
1 - 0
PES
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
ACM
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 3
ACM
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |