Milan vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 3
ACM
47%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 2
VER
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
ROS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
4 - 1
CEL
40%
24%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HIB
2 - 2
CEL
21%
21%
57%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MHE
1 - 4
CEL
18%
21%
62%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 4
SPA
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |