Milan vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
16%
24%
61%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
SHA
0 - 3
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
78%
16%
7%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 1
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CEL
3 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 0
SLB
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
KIL
1 - 2
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |