Milan vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VCF
0 - 0
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ACM
13%
22%
66%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 1
PIS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MLL
1 - 0
CAG
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 3
CAG
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUG
3 - 1
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |