Milan vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 1
PSG
54%
22%
24%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 1
UDI
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
4 - 2
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 1
BVB
17%
19%
64%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
2 - 0
NEW
35%
24%
40%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
0 - 4
BYM
19%
19%
62%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
HOF
74%
15%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |