Milan vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 2
SAS
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 3
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 4
UDI
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 2
BEN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LAZ
5 - 3
BEN
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
SAS
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |