UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 2-1
Milan vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
16%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
INT
0 - 3
ACM
54%
26%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
ACM
3 - 2
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
VCF
2 - 1
FCB
35%
29%
37%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATH
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |