Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TOT
0 - 0
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACM
40%
26%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
ACM
22%
27%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOT
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |