Milan U18 vs Roma U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
8º
60
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
MIL
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOL
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 0
MIL
46%
22%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 1
MIL
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 5
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
ASR
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |