Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
EVE
2 - 0
MID
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
MID
0 - 4
ARS
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MID
2 - 1
WHU
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BRA
1 - 1
MID
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
4 - 4
TRO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
TRO
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 1
MUN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |