Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NOT
1 - 2
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
NTT
1 - 0
MID
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
EVE
4 - 0
MID
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
MID
4 - 2
WHU
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1996 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 3
WIM
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
ARS
3 - 0
QPR
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |