Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
BRØ
2 - 1
MID
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MID
3 - 0
HEL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 2
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
B93
0 - 2
MID
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MID
3 - 1
RIN
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
AAF
0 - 2
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JAM
1 - 2
AAF
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HEL
2 - 2
AAF
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AAF
3 - 0
BRØ
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AKA
1 - 2
AAF
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |