Mictlán vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
COM
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 3
CON
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
GUA
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VEN
2 - 0
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +5 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
VEN
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ANT
2 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEO
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
COM
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |