PDL USA Central conference Round 3

Flint City Bucks vs Kalamazoo FC analysis

Flint City Bucks Kalamazoo FC
64 ELO 47
10.1% Tilt 18.3%
3013º General ELO ranking 6111º
37º Country ELO ranking 121º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Flint City Bucks
17.8%
Draw
13.9%
Kalamazoo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Flint City Bucks
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.9%
Win probability
Kalamazoo FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Points and table prediction

Flint City Bucks
Their league position
Kalamazoo FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
10
12º
21º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Des Moines Menace
22
31
100%
Fort Wayne
19
28
100%
Flint City Bucks
21
27
100%
Sueno
16
26
0%
Minneapolis City
20
26
0%
Peoria
22
25
0%
Midwest United
14º
13
25
0%
Lexington II
13º
14
24
100%
RKC
15
22
100%
Steel City
10º
15
21
10º
0%
Rochester
16º
12
21
11º
0%
AFC Ann Arbor
15º
13
21
12º
0%
Oakland County
12º
14
20
13º
100%
Buffalo
16
19
14º
100%
West Virginia United
16
17
15º
0%
Northern Indiana
22º
10
17
16º
0%
Kings Hammer Columbus
11º
15
16
17º
100%
Akron City FC
19º
11
15
18º
0%
River Light
17º
12
15
19º
0%
Sunflower State FC
28º
5
14
20º
0%
Union Macomb
20º
11
14
21º
0%
Kalamazoo FC
21º
10
14
22º
100%
Santafé Wanderers
24º
7
13
23º
100%
Springfield
18º
12
12
24º
100%
St. Louis Ambush
23º
7
10
25º
100%
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
29º
5
9
26º
100%
Dayton Dutch Lions
27º
5
8
27º
100%
Cleveland Force
25º
6
7
28º
100%
St. Croix
30º
4
7
29º
100%
Erie Sports Center
26º
6
6
30º
100%
Chicago Dutch Lions
32º
0
3
31º
100%
Lansing City
31º
0
0
32º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flint City Bucks
Kalamazoo FC
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Flint City Bucks
Kalamazoo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flint City Bucks
Flint City Bucks
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2025
MIC
Flint City Bucks
2 - 0
Northern Indiana
NIF
76%
15%
9%
64 31 33 0
11 Jun. 2025
LCF
Lansing City
0 - 5
Flint City Bucks
MIC
16%
20%
64%
64 34 30 0
08 Jun. 2025
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
3 - 2
Flint City Bucks
MIC
20%
22%
58%
64 49 15 0
05 Jun. 2025
MUF
Midwest United
2 - 0
Flint City Bucks
MIC
20%
21%
58%
65 48 17 -1
01 Jun. 2025
MIC
Flint City Bucks
1 - 0
Union Macomb
UFM
77%
14%
8%
65 32 33 0

Matches

Kalamazoo FC
Kalamazoo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2025
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 1
Northern Indiana
NIF
76%
15%
10%
48 31 17 0
18 Jun. 2025
LCF
Lansing City
1 - 3
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
17%
18%
65%
47 32 15 +1
15 Jun. 2025
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
0 - 0
AFC Ann Arbor
AAA
40%
25%
36%
47 50 3 0
12 Jun. 2025
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
0 - 5
Midwest United
MUF
43%
25%
32%
49 50 1 -2
07 Jun. 2025
NIF
Northern Indiana
4 - 1
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
7%
12%
81%
52 17 35 -3