Miajadas vs Alcuescar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miajadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TRU
0 - 5
MIA
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
2 - 1
PUL
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
5 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LHA
3 - 0
MIA
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MIA
2 - 0
CSF
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alcuescar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 5
VAL
20%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LHA
4 - 1
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
CSF
22%
21%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MET
5 - 0
ALC
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 1
PAL
55%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |