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NPFL. Matchday 26

MFM FC Abia Warriors
28 ELO 30
-20% Tilt -9%
3747º General ELO ranking 3659º
16º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
39.8%
MFM FC
30.4%
Draw
29.8%
Abia Warriors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
MFM FC
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
29.8%
Win probability
Abia Warriors
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MFM FC
-28%
+13%
Abia Warriors

Basic stats

50
50
POS
28
30
ELO
1.1
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

MFM FC
Their league position
Abia Warriors
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
17º
13º
35
10º
20º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Akwa United
50
68
18%
Kano Pillars
49
66
13%
Nasarawa United
48
65
11%
Kwara United
46
65
11%
Rivers United
45
62
10%
Enugu Rangers
43
57
7%
Enyimba
42
61
8%
Lobi Stars
40
55
8%
Plateau United
39
57
8%
Heartland Owerri
10º
38
55
10º
8%
MFM FC
11º
36
49
13º
7%
Dakkada
12º
36
50
12º
8%
Abia Warriors
13º
35
54
11º
7%
Katsina United
14º
31
45
14º
10%
Wikki Tourist
15º
30
44
15º
11%
Jigawa Golden Stars
16º
30
42
16º
12%
Warri Wolves FC
17º
27
39
17º
14%
Ifeanyi Ubah
18º
25
37
18º
17%
Sunshine Stars
19º
24
35
19º
20%
Adamawa United FC
20º
19
29
20º
51%
Expected probabilities
MFM FC
Abia Warriors
Champion
1% 3%
CAF Champions League
2% 4%
CAF Confederation Cup
3% 4%
Mid-table
80% 79%
Relegation
14% 9%

ELO progression

Abia Warriors
ABI
MFM FC
MFM
Kwara United
KWA
Lobi Stars
LOB
Wikki Tourist
WIK
Sunshine Stars
SUN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MFM FC
MFM FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO MFM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
MFM
MFM FC
1 - 0
Dakkada
AST
46%
27%
28%
356 400 -44 0
26 May. 2021
SUN
Sunshine Stars
0 - 0
MFM FC
MFM
47%
27%
26%
356 429 73 0
23 May. 2021
MFM
MFM FC
1 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
46%
27%
27%
356 388 -32 0
16 May. 2021
WAR
Warri Wolves FC
0 - 2
MFM FC
MFM
47%
27%
26%
356 410 54 0
04 Apr. 2021
MFM
MFM FC
1 - 1
Ifeanyi Ubah
GAB
45%
27%
28%
356 359 -3 0

Matches

Abia Warriors
Abia Warriors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ABI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2021
JGS
Jigawa Golden Stars
0 - 0
Abia Warriors
ABI
45%
27%
28%
377 380 3 0
27 May. 2021
ABI
Abia Warriors
0 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
47%
27%
26%
377 356 21 0
23 May. 2021
RIV
Rivers United
0 - 0
Abia Warriors
ABI
49%
26%
25%
377 473 96 0
05 Apr. 2021
ABI
Abia Warriors
2 - 1
Plateau United
PLA
46%
27%
28%
375 439 -64 +2
28 Mar. 2021
NAS
Nasarawa United
5 - 3
Abia Warriors
ABI
46%
27%
27%
378 361 -17 -3