Mezzolara vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 4
MEZ
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MEZ
3 - 0
CER
63%
20%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACE
0 - 1
MEZ
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MEZ
3 - 2
SCA
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RAV
0 - 1
MEZ
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAG
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 4
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
TUT
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |