Mezzolara vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
MEZ
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MEZ
2 - 2
COR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
RIM
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
MEZ
50%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 2
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 1
ACP
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
ASD
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |