Mexico U23 vs Senegal U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 3
VEN
11%
20%
70%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
5 - 1
HAI
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 2
GTM
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
MEX
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
GRC
2 - 3
MEX
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |