Mexico U23s vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
3 - 6
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 3
MEX
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 1
MEX
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
JAP
0 - 1
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
JAP
0 - 0
NZE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 4
JAP
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 1
MEX
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 0
SUD
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |