Metz vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SED
3 - 3
MET
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
MET
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PSG
5 - 0
MET
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
ANG
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MET
3 - 2
LYO
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
6 - 1
TRO
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 3
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PSG
2 - 2
TRO
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
LIL
19%
25%
57%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |