Metz vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SOC
2 - 1
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MET
1 - 1
REN
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
MET
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
TFC
0 - 0
SOC
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
59%
24%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 0
GIR
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 2
LYO
21%
27%
52%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |