Metz vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
MET
7 - 2
MPL
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
SFP
0 - 0
MET
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
LIL
5 - 3
MET
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
MET
1 - 4
TFC
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MET
0 - 2
STR
46%
22%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
STR
3 - 3
ASS
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCR
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
ASS
1 - 1
SFP
51%
21%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
CAN
7 - 0
ASS
40%
22%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ASS
1 - 5
REN
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |