Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
RED
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MET
1 - 2
DIJ
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
CHA
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
VAL
69%
21%
11%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
LIL
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 4
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |