Metz vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
DIJ
2 - 0
MET
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 1
MET
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
3 - 2
CLE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 0
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
ETG
25%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 2
CLE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ETG
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |