Metz vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 0
MET
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LHA
5 - 4
MET
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
59%
26%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
IST
2 - 3
MET
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 0
LMU
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 3
SOC
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 1
ARL
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 0
TFC
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |