Metz vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
ROD
1 - 2
MET
18%
25%
58%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
PSG
3 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MET
2 - 2
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
AJA
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
LIL
27%
30%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
54%
26%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
LYO
14%
24%
63%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 0
AJA
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |