Metz II vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
YZE
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
2 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MET
6 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
JUR
1 - 2
MET
33%
28%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
SOC
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 0
JUR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LYO
1 - 0
MOU
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
RAO
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |