Metropolitan Police vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
AFC
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MET
1 - 0
HEN
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 1
MET
26%
21%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
3 - 0
MET
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TAU
1 - 2
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 0
EAS
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 1
EAS
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 0
BOR
41%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 3
EAS
36%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |