Metro vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MAN
6 - 2
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
MET
0 - 2
TCU
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 0
MET
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CEN
4 - 1
MET
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
MET
0 - 5
NAP
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
6 - 3
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
2 - 2
WAI
55%
22%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
CHR
1 - 4
MIR
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
TCU
0 - 2
MIR
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
MIR
3 - 3
CHR
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |