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Ukraine Third Division. Group B, Matchday 20

Metalurh Zaporizhya Balkany Zorya
27 ELO 13
44% Tilt -63%
3862º General ELO ranking 6675º
37º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
77.6%
Metalurh Zaporizhya
16.9%
Draw
5.4%
Balkany Zorya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
Metalurh Zaporizhya
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.5%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
5.4%
Win probability
Balkany Zorya
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Metalurh Zaporizhya
+72%
-25%
Balkany Zorya

Points and table prediction

Metalurh Zaporizhya
Their league position
Balkany Zorya
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
17
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metal Kharkiv
56
64
100%
Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih
44
52
56%
Metalurh Zaporizhya
40
50
50%
Tavriya Simferopol
35
44
83%
MSK Dnipro Cherkasy
24
29
6%
Peremoga
19
24
9%
Enerhiya Nova Kakhovka
18
27
25%
Balkany Zorya
17
23
10º
15%
Yarud Mariupol
16
25
15%
Real Pharma
10º
15
19
11º
15%
Nikopol
11º
14
19
12º
20%
Mykolaiv II
12º
8
12
13º
8%
Cherkashchyna-Akademiya
13º
0
39
15%
Expected probabilities
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Balkany Zorya
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
36% 0%
Mid-table
64% 98%
Relegation
0% 2%

ELO progression

Metalurh Zaporizhya
MEZ
Balkany Zorya
BAL
Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih
HKR
Enerhiya Nova Kakhovka
ENK
Metal Kharkiv
FKM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1%
X%
2%
ELO MEZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
ENK
Enerhiya Nova Kakhovka
1 - 1
Metalurh Zaporizhya
MEZ
40%
28%
32%
338 126 -212 0
19 Apr. 2021
MEZ
Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 - 1
Yarud Mariupol
FYM
49%
26%
25%
336 234 102 +1
14 Apr. 2021
TAV
Tavriya Simferopol
1 - 1
Metalurh Zaporizhya
MEZ
46%
27%
27%
336 322 -14 0
09 Apr. 2021
MEZ
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3 - 0
Mykolaiv II
MYK
51%
25%
23%
334 166 168 +2
04 Apr. 2021
FKP
Peremoga
1 - 3
Metalurh Zaporizhya
MEZ
44%
27%
29%
333 238 -95 +2

Matches

Balkany Zorya
Balkany Zorya
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
BAL
Balkany Zorya
1 - 0
Enerhiya Nova Kakhovka
ENK
47%
27%
26%
184 127 57 +1
14 Apr. 2021
FYM
Yarud Mariupol
1 - 1
Balkany Zorya
BAL
47%
27%
26%
184 234 50 0
09 Apr. 2021
BAL
Balkany Zorya
0 - 2
Tavriya Simferopol
TAV
42%
28%
31%
186 320 -134 -2
03 Apr. 2021
MYK
Mykolaiv II
1 - 1
Balkany Zorya
BAL
46%
27%
27%
186 166 -20 0
27 Mar. 2021
BAL
Balkany Zorya
2 - 1
Peremoga
FKP
46%
27%
28%
185 240 -55 +1