Metallurg Bekabad vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
10º
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
MET
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
NEF
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKL
3 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
NAV
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
FKO
2 - 1
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUX
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
QIZ
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
QIZ
2 - 1
SOG
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
PAK
6 - 0
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
QIZ
1 - 1
QOQ
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |