Metalac GM vs Žarkovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRV
3 - 1
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 1
MET
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MET
4 - 1
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MET
3 - 1
KOL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VOJ
2 - 2
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Žarkovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TIM
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FKZ
0 - 5
ZAR
35%
28%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 1
BAK
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 0
ZAR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 3
MAV
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |