Metalac GM vs Žarkovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
MET
3 - 0
BOR
52%
23%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MET
4 - 0
ZEM
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
MET
0 - 1
CRV
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NPA
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
BAK
3 - 1
MET
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Žarkovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BUD
2 - 1
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
TKS
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 0
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZEM
0 - 1
ZAR
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |