Metalac GM vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
LOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
SIL
52%
23%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ZAL
3 - 1
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
VOZ
2 - 0
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VOZ
5 - 2
MET
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NPA
1 - 1
ARS
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 0
NPA
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NPA
1 - 1
AKP
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NPA
1 - 1
VOJ
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
NPA
0 - 0
VOZ
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |