Metalac GM vs Bežanija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
RAD
0 - 0
MET
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FKZ
1 - 0
MET
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 0
SIN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BUD
2 - 1
MET
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
BEA
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bežanija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BEA
2 - 2
SIN
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 0
FKB
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
BAC
4 - 1
BEA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
3 - 2
ZAR
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
BEA
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |