Mestre vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MES
4 - 0
SGS
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
UAR
2 - 1
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CLO
1 - 3
MES
39%
28%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CLO
1 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
BEL
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
GSD
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |