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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 15

Mestre vs Clodiense analysis

Mestre Clodiense
33 ELO 12
-10% Tilt 65%
4140º General ELO ranking 6528º
125º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Mestre
24.2%
Draw
40.2%
Clodiense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Mestre
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.2%
Win probability
Clodiense
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mestre
+24%
+50%
Clodiense

Points and table prediction

Mestre
Their league position
Clodiense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
18º
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Campodarsego
54
72
34%
Legnago Salus
49
62
9%
Ambrosiana
48
63
10%
Clodiense
47
64
9%
Mestre
45
62
8%
Adriese
44
64
10%
Union Feltre
44
59
9%
Cartigliano
42
59
10%
Cjarlins Muzane
42
60
7%
Luparense
10º
37
58
10º
10%
Caldiero Terme
11º
37
45
15º
10%
AC Este
12º
36
51
11º
10%
Chions
13º
35
50
12º
10%
Belluno
14º
34
47
13º
10%
Delta Porto Tolle
15º
31
46
14º
8%
Montebelluna
16º
30
41
16º
14%
Vigasio
17º
30
39
17º
15%
Tamai
18º
22
33
19º
25%
San Luigi
19º
21
35
18º
23%
Villafranca
20º
17
30
20º
41%
Expected probabilities
Mestre
Clodiense
Champion
9% 12%
Promotion playoffs
34% 37%
Mid-table
53% 48%
Relegation playoffs
4% 2%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Clodiense
CLO
Mestre
MES
Ambrosiana
GSD
Villafranca
VIL
Montebelluna
MON
Luparense
SAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mestre
Mestre
1%
X%
2%
ELO MES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2019
LUI
San Luigi
1 - 2
Mestre
MES
39%
28%
33%
441 260 -181 +1
10 Nov. 2019
MES
Mestre
3 - 1
Cjarlins Muzane
CJA
51%
26%
24%
439 220 219 +2
03 Nov. 2019
DEL
Delta Porto Tolle
1 - 3
Mestre
MES
45%
27%
28%
437 385 -52 +2
30 Oct. 2019
MES
Mestre
1 - 0
Tamai
TAM
53%
25%
22%
436 173 263 +1
26 Oct. 2019
UNI
Union Feltre
2 - 1
Mestre
MES
39%
28%
33%
437 262 -175 -2

Matches

Clodiense
Clodiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO CLO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2019
CLO
Clodiense
3 - 2
Chions
CHI
45%
27%
29%
179 280 -101 +2
10 Nov. 2019
CAL
Caldiero Terme
0 - 1
Clodiense
CLO
47%
27%
26%
177 281 104 +2
03 Nov. 2019
CLO
Clodiense
2 - 3
Cartigliano
CAR
45%
27%
29%
179 284 -105 -1
30 Oct. 2019
LEG
Legnago Salus
0 - 0
Clodiense
CLO
46%
27%
27%
179 232 53 0
26 Oct. 2019
CLO
Clodiense
1 - 0
Campodarsego
CAM
41%
27%
31%
177 339 -162 +2