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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 19

Mestre vs Belluno analysis

Mestre Belluno
33 ELO 19
-2% Tilt -8%
4140º General ELO ranking 12072º
125º Country ELO ranking 414º
ELO win probability
54%
Mestre
25.4%
Draw
20.6%
Belluno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Mestre
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.6%
Win probability
Belluno
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mestre
+13%
+6%
Belluno

Points and table prediction

Mestre
Their league position
Belluno
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
18º
34
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Campodarsego
54
72
39%
Legnago Salus
49
63
13%
Ambrosiana
48
63
9%
Clodiense
47
63
9%
Mestre
45
61
8%
Adriese
44
65
7%
Union Feltre
44
61
8%
Cartigliano
42
58
9%
Cjarlins Muzane
42
59
8%
Luparense
10º
37
56
10º
10%
Caldiero Terme
11º
37
45
15º
10%
AC Este
12º
36
50
11º
10%
Chions
13º
35
49
12º
10%
Belluno
14º
34
48
13º
10%
Delta Porto Tolle
15º
31
48
14º
8%
Montebelluna
16º
30
41
16º
14%
Vigasio
17º
30
39
17º
15%
Tamai
18º
22
33
19º
26%
San Luigi
19º
21
34
18º
24%
Villafranca
20º
17
29
20º
43%
Expected probabilities
Mestre
Belluno
Champion
8% 0%
Promotion playoffs
33% 6%
Mid-table
54% 58%
Relegation playoffs
5% 31%
Relegation
0% 5%

ELO progression

Belluno
BEL
Mestre
MES
AC Este
ACE
Cartigliano
CAR
Luparense
SAN
Adriese
SDA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mestre
Mestre
1%
X%
2%
ELO MES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2019
CAM
Campodarsego
0 - 0
Mestre
MES
42%
28%
31%
442 348 -94 0
08 Dec. 2019
MES
Mestre
2 - 1
Luparense
SAN
51%
26%
24%
441 234 207 +1
01 Dec. 2019
GSD
Ambrosiana
3 - 0
Mestre
MES
39%
28%
33%
444 259 -185 -3
24 Nov. 2019
MES
Mestre
2 - 0
Clodiense
CLO
53%
25%
22%
442 180 262 +2
17 Nov. 2019
LUI
San Luigi
1 - 2
Mestre
MES
39%
28%
33%
441 260 -181 +1

Matches

Belluno
Belluno
1%
X%
2%
ELO BEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2019
BEL
Belluno
0 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
265 159 106 -2
08 Dec. 2019
VIL
Villafranca
0 - 1
Belluno
BEL
45%
27%
29%
264 179 -85 +1
01 Dec. 2019
BEL
Belluno
4 - 1
Chions
CHI
46%
27%
27%
261 277 -16 +3
24 Nov. 2019
CAL
Caldiero Terme
0 - 3
Belluno
BEL
47%
27%
26%
258 279 21 +3
16 Nov. 2019
BEL
Belluno
0 - 2
Cartigliano
CAR
46%
27%
27%
261 283 -22 -2