ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
USA
4 - 2
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
MES
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
MES
3 - 0
PAL
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAL
3 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 2
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
VER
2 - 1
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |