ACR Messina vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
1 - 2
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 1
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MES
2 - 2
GEL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CIT
1 - 0
MES
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
CSA
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
4 - 1
REN
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
PAT
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 0
DAT
67%
17%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |