ACR Messina vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
CAT
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
USV
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
AKR
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REG
2 - 6
MAT
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
USF
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |