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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 15

Messina Licata
29 ELO 33
32% Tilt -73%
4416º General ELO ranking 3864º
121º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Messina
21.8%
Draw
5.8%
Licata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
Messina
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
11%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
23.1%
1-0
23.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
<0%
0
21.8%
5.8%
Win probability
Licata
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Messina
+43%
-31%
Licata

Points and table prediction

Messina
Their league position
Licata
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
10º
43
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Messina
74
74
100%
Città di Messina
72
72
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
San Luca
58
58
100%
Acireale
57
57
100%
Dattilo
52
52
100%
Rotonda
49
49
100%
Biancavilla
47
47
100%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
45
100%
Licata
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Castrovillari
11º
41
41
11º
100%
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
12º
39
39
12º
50%
Cittanovese
13º
39
39
13º
50%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Troina
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Rende
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Roccella
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Messina
Licata
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Messina
MES
Licata
LIC
Marina di Ragusa
MDR
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
CSA
Castrovillari
USC
Rende
REN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Messina
Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO MES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2020
MES
Messina
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
49%
26%
25%
362 253 109 0
06 Dec. 2020
MES
Messina
2 - 2
Gelbison
GEL
51%
25%
23%
362 180 182 0
06 Jan. 2021
MES
Messina
1 - 0
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
PAT
38%
28%
35%
362 711 -349 0
23 Dec. 2020
DAT
Dattilo
1 - 2
Messina
MES
41%
28%
31%
362 292 -70 0
13 Dec. 2020
ROC
Roccella
0 - 1
Messina
MES
42%
27%
31%
362 216 -146 0

Matches

Licata
Licata
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2020
LIC
Licata
1 - 0
San Luca
LUC
47%
27%
26%
439 298 141 0
06 Jan. 2021
LIC
Licata
1 - 1
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
47%
27%
26%
439 300 139 0
23 Dec. 2020
ROT
Rotonda
1 - 0
Licata
LIC
42%
27%
31%
439 268 -171 0
13 Dec. 2020
ACI
Acireale
2 - 0
Licata
LIC
44%
27%
29%
439 318 -121 0
04 Nov. 2020
LIC
Licata
1 - 0
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
PAT
39%
27%
34%
438 713 -275 +2