ACR Messina vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
89%
9%
2%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
BIA
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ACC
1 - 4
MES
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MES
0 - 3
CIT
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LIC
0 - 0
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HYR
1 - 1
ACI
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 0
HYR
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
HYR
0 - 1
SSC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
HYR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HYR
0 - 1
PAL
5%
18%
77%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |